And you won’t be able to blame it all on lockdowns. The point of maximum Covid immunity may well be behind us. Which will mean much lower rates of uptake.
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And with what risk that it might mutate again and get worse? The next generation of vaccines probably will not be directly subsidized.
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Toss in some number of immunocompromised individuals (how many?).Įven under mild conceptions of current Covid, it is entirely plausible to believe that the costs of Covid will run into the trillions over the next ten years.ĭeath rates are not up, but more of the unvaccinated will die off with time and the rest of us will face this steady risk and planning annoyance for - how long? Plus we’ll get lots of “colds,” some of them considerably worse than a cold. With a pinch of Long Covid in the distribution surely the current virus is a wee bit worse than that? While many cases of Long Covid are malingerers and hypochondriacs, at this point it is clear that not all of them are. That 2003 estimate also does not include the sheer discomfort of having a cold.
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One 2003 estimate suggested that the common cold costs us $40 billion a year, and in a typical year I don’t get a cold even once. Imagine a new common cold, which you catch a few times a year, with some sliver of the population getting some form of Long Covid. I know many of you like to say “No worse than the common cold!” Well, the thing is…the common cold imposes considerable costs on the world.